← CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
Water SilvieTier 2
at CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
decks
3
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
7-7-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351
· median 1295
· range 1165–1593
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1171
Q3 1403
1736
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.0% | -0.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
